Updated 46 min. ago

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5)
100 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Market brief
- At 100%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (189 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 outcomes- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5100 %
- Completed Match100 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.50 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner0 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-3.50 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$39.7K
24h vol.
$39.7K
Liquidity
$54.2K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
100¢ / 100¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
100¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 192 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 65 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 173 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 201 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 0 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 170 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 54¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 279 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 1 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 125 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 29 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 323 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 59 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 59 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 500 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 201 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 54 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 48¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 11 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 18 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 290 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 192 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 100 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 7,701 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 63 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 383 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 192 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 2,000 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 1,451 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 10,147 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 51¢ | 122 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Ben Shelton, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ben Shelton." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
- Event:
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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