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Updated 46 min. ago

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5)

Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Ben Shelton (+1.5)

Sports

100 %

Carlos Alcaraz

▲ +29.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Carlos Alcaraz 100¢Ben Shelton 0¢

Market brief

  • At 100%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 23 buys, 27 sells; the largest was $5K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 96% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 95–100% seven days before the end resolved YES (189 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$39.7K

24h vol.

$39.7K

Liquidity

$54.2K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 7 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

100¢ / 100¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

100¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size
100¢$38,354
99¢$952
99¢$927
77¢$60
77¢$60
77¢$616
77¢$60
75¢$100
52¢$700
51¢$200
Asks (sell)Size

No orders

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell100¢3
1 hr. agoSell100¢192
1 hr. agoSell100¢65
1 hr. agoSell100¢173
1 hr. agoSell100¢201
1 hr. agoBuy100¢0
1 hr. agoBuy100¢6
1 hr. agoSell99¢170
1 hr. agoSell54¢30
1 hr. agoBuy67¢40
2 hr. agoBuy36¢279
2 hr. agoSell27¢1
2 hr. agoBuy39¢5
2 hr. agoSell60¢125
2 hr. agoBuy32¢29
2 hr. agoBuy32¢0
2 hr. agoSell49¢323
2 hr. agoSell49¢2
2 hr. agoSell49¢57
2 hr. agoSell49¢59
2 hr. agoSell49¢59
2 hr. agoBuy49¢500
2 hr. agoBuy60¢3
2 hr. agoBuy61¢201
2 hr. agoBuy46¢54
2 hr. agoSell37¢2
2 hr. agoSell37¢5
3 hr. agoSell37¢11
3 hr. agoSell48¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy29¢5
3 hr. agoSell27¢11
3 hr. agoBuy62¢8
3 hr. agoSell37¢40
3 hr. agoSell17¢1
3 hr. agoSell16¢18
3 hr. agoSell31¢290
3 hr. agoBuy53¢5
3 hr. agoBuy52¢192
3 hr. agoBuy52¢7
3 hr. agoBuy54¢19
3 hr. agoSell51¢100
3 hr. agoBuy53¢7,701
4 hr. agoBuy53¢63
4 hr. agoBuy52¢383
4 hr. agoBuy52¢192
4 hr. agoSell51¢2,000
4 hr. agoBuy52¢1,451
4 hr. agoSell51¢10,147
4 hr. agoBuy52¢10
4 hr. agoSell51¢122
Rules & resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Ben Shelton in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins by 2 or more sets than Ben Shelton, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Ben Shelton." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Carlos Alcaraz can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Event:
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

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