Updated 46 min. ago

Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Ben Shelton (+3.5)
0 %
Carlos Alcaraz
Market brief
- At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
- Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $3.17K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (358 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 15, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
5 outcomes- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5100 %
- Completed Match100 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.50 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner0 %
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz Game Spread +/-3.50 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$15.2K
24h vol.
$15.2K
Liquidity
$21.4K
End date
Nov 15, 2026
ends in 7 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Last trade
32¢
Start date
Nov 7, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 min. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,690 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 23 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 160 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 184 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 300 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 300 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 200 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 354 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 500 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 500 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 500 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 47 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 47 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 3 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 179 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 32 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 21 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 184 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 197 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 113 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 700 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 19 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 5,876 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 100 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 990 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 6 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 592 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 19 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 141 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 8 |
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 25 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 50¢ | 100 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 2 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins 3.5 or more total games than Ben Shelton in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Carlos Alcaraz could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
- Resolution source:
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
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