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Updated 46 min. ago

Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Ben Shelton (+3.5)

Game Spread: Carlos Alcaraz (-3.5) vs Ben Shelton (+3.5)

Sports

0 %

Carlos Alcaraz

▼ −40.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Carlos Alcaraz 0¢Ben Shelton 100¢

Market brief

  • At 0%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Last 50 trades: 19 buys, 31 sells; the largest was $3.17K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 2% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (358 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 7 days (Nov 15, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

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Total volume

$15.2K

24h vol.

$15.2K

Liquidity

$21.4K

End date

Nov 15, 2026

ends in 7 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Last trade

32¢

Start date

Nov 7, 2026

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$8,189
1¢$753
1¢$366
23¢$60
23¢$60
23¢$60
25¢$100
48¢$700
49¢$200
50¢$300

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
57 min. agoBuy0¢100
1 hr. agoBuy0¢1,690
1 hr. agoBuy0¢23
1 hr. agoBuy0¢160
1 hr. agoBuy0¢3
1 hr. agoSell0¢6
1 hr. agoBuy1¢184
1 hr. agoSell2¢300
1 hr. agoSell3¢200
1 hr. agoSell2¢300
1 hr. agoSell3¢200
1 hr. agoSell2¢354
1 hr. agoSell2¢500
1 hr. agoSell2¢500
1 hr. agoSell2¢500
1 hr. agoSell1¢5
2 hr. agoBuy9¢47
2 hr. agoSell42¢47
2 hr. agoSell40¢3
2 hr. agoSell44¢179
2 hr. agoSell38¢32
2 hr. agoSell36¢2
2 hr. agoSell33¢21
2 hr. agoSell43¢184
3 hr. agoSell33¢30
3 hr. agoSell31¢40
3 hr. agoSell31¢30
3 hr. agoSell31¢30
3 hr. agoBuy32¢5
3 hr. agoBuy50¢7
3 hr. agoBuy50¢4
3 hr. agoBuy46¢197
3 hr. agoBuy46¢3
3 hr. agoSell41¢2
3 hr. agoBuy39¢113
3 hr. agoSell40¢700
3 hr. agoBuy52¢10
3 hr. agoBuy52¢19
3 hr. agoBuy54¢5,876
4 hr. agoSell49¢100
4 hr. agoSell49¢100
4 hr. agoSell49¢990
4 hr. agoSell49¢6
4 hr. agoBuy51¢592
4 hr. agoSell49¢19
5 hr. agoSell49¢141
6 hr. agoBuy50¢8
6 hr. agoSell49¢25
8 hr. agoSell50¢100
8 hr. agoBuy52¢2
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Carlos Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins 3.5 or more total games than Ben Shelton in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Carlos Alcaraz could no longer have finished 3.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Ben Shelton". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz

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