Updated 3 min. ago

WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
28 %
Elina Svitolina
Market brief
- Down 14.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 54% on Nov 9, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $2.07K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,828 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
5 outcomes- Completed Match53 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.547 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.543 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova28 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.525 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$272.6K
24h vol.
$265.2K
Liquidity
$344.2K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+There is a current smart-money reading on this market: how the wallets whose record holds up are positioned.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$272.6K
Bid / Ask
28¢ / 29¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
30¢
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 3 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 3 |
| 4 min. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 22 |
| 4 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 14 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 32 |
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 900 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 118 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 2,097 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 348 |
| 5 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 139 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 154 |
| 5 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 1,950 |
| 6 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 5 |
| 6 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 100 |
| 6 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 300 |
| 6 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 34 |
| 6 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 20 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 251 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 10 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 21 |
| 7 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 28 |
| 7 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 107 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 28 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 19 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 282 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 17 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 6,902 |
| 8 min. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 732 |
| 8 min. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 4 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 1,986 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 137 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 393 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 5 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 1,000 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 143 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 45 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 913 |
| 9 min. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 140 |
| 9 min. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 60 |
| 10 min. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 154 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 74 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 3 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 45 |
| 10 min. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 64 |
| 11 min. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 2 |
| 11 min. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 168 |
| 11 min. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
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