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Updated 3 min. ago

WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova

WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova

Sports

28 %

Elina Svitolina

▼ −12.0%1h▼ −14.0%24h
Elina Svitolina 28¢Karolina Muchova 72¢

Market brief

  • Down 14.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 54% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 28 buys, 22 sells; the largest was $2.07K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,828 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
  • Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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50%
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✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$272.6K

24h vol.

$265.2K

Liquidity

$344.2K

End date

Nov 17, 2026

ends in 6 days

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$272.6K

Bid / Ask

28¢ / 29¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

30¢

Start date

Nov 8, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
29¢$908
28¢$25,059
27¢$66,167
26¢$13,130
25¢$49,433
24¢$61,659
23¢$92,089
22¢$30,560
21¢$15,611
20¢$2,566
Asks (sell)Size
30¢$77,249
31¢$36,902
32¢$18,582
33¢$98,952
34¢$67,413
35¢$25,659
36¢$17,480
37¢$385
38¢$298
39¢$760

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 min. agoBuy30¢3
3 min. agoBuy30¢3
4 min. agoSell31¢22
4 min. agoSell28¢14
5 min. agoBuy31¢32
5 min. agoSell30¢900
5 min. agoBuy31¢118
5 min. agoBuy31¢2,097
5 min. agoBuy30¢348
5 min. agoSell28¢139
5 min. agoBuy28¢154
5 min. agoBuy28¢1,950
6 min. agoBuy28¢5
6 min. agoBuy27¢100
6 min. agoBuy27¢300
6 min. agoBuy28¢34
6 min. agoSell28¢20
7 min. agoSell29¢251
7 min. agoBuy30¢10
7 min. agoSell29¢21
7 min. agoSell29¢28
7 min. agoBuy30¢107
8 min. agoSell29¢28
8 min. agoBuy30¢19
8 min. agoSell29¢282
8 min. agoBuy30¢17
8 min. agoBuy30¢6,902
8 min. agoSell29¢732
8 min. agoBuy30¢4
9 min. agoSell30¢1,986
9 min. agoSell30¢137
9 min. agoSell30¢393
9 min. agoBuy31¢5
9 min. agoBuy31¢5
9 min. agoSell30¢1,000
9 min. agoSell30¢143
9 min. agoSell32¢45
9 min. agoSell32¢913
9 min. agoSell34¢140
9 min. agoBuy36¢60
10 min. agoSell38¢154
10 min. agoBuy39¢3
10 min. agoBuy39¢74
10 min. agoBuy39¢3
10 min. agoBuy38¢45
10 min. agoBuy38¢5
11 min. agoBuy37¢64
11 min. agoSell36¢2
11 min. agoSell38¢168
11 min. agoBuy41¢5
Rules & resolution

This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Elina Svitolina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova

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