Updated 3 hr. ago

Set Handicap: Elina Svitolina (-1.5) vs Karolina Muchova (+1.5)
25 %
Elina Svitolina
Market brief
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,828 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your probability for Elina Svitolina before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
Result by email
Find out how it ends
One email when this market resolves. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
5 outcomes- Completed Match53 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.547 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.543 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova33 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.525 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$652
24h vol.
$652
Liquidity
$36.1K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
24¢ / 25¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
25¢
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 23¢ | 417 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 648 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 25¢ | 4 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Elina Svitolina and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Elina Svitolina" if Elina Svitolina wins by 2 or more sets than Karolina Muchova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Karolina Muchova." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Elina Svitolina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Related markets
Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Golden State vs Houston — Golden State31 %▼ −6.0%
- 334: Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit — Josh Hokit38 %▲ +2.0%
- UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)37 %▲ +1.0%
- Kecmanovic vs Rune — Holger Rune40 %▼ −51.0%
- Miami vs Indianapolis — Indianapolis65 %▲ +8.0%
- Los Angeles L vs Milwaukee — Los Angeles L88 %▲ +1.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.