Updated 2 hr. ago

Game Spread: Karolina Muchova (-2.5) vs Elina Svitolina (+2.5)
47 %
Karolina Muchova
Market brief
- Down 2.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 50% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Historically, 49% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (10,748 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 6 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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✦ AI assessment
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WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
5 outcomes- Completed Match53 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Game Spread +/-2.547 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Total Sets: O/U 2.543 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova33 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.525 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$244.917
24h vol.
$244.917
Liquidity
$33.3K
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 6 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
46¢ / 47¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
47¢
Start date
Nov 10, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (9)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 770 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 426 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 74 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 306 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 64 |
| 10 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 2 |
| 11 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 174 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 5 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova" if Karolina Muchova wins 2.5 or more total games than Elina Svitolina in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Elina Svitolina". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Karolina Muchova could no longer have finished 2.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Elina Svitolina". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
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