Updated 2 days ago
Set 1 Winner: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
76 %
Mirra Andreeva
Market brief
- Up 26.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 50% on Nov 8, 2026.
- Historically, 68% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 65–85% seven days before the end resolved YES (2,066 cases). That is less often than their average price of 73% implied — prices in this range have run high.
- Scheduled to end in 5 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your probability for Mirra Andreeva before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
Result by email
Find out how it ends
One email when this market resolves. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
3 outcomes- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner76 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova70 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.522 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$158.163
24h vol.
$158.163
Liquidity
$137.234
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 5 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
Bid / Ask
52¢ / 100¢
Spread 48¢
Last trade
98¢
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (4)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 51 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 36 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 36 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 98¢ | 36 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Mirra Andreeva and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Mirra Andreeva” if Mirra Andreeva wins the first set. It will resolve to “Karolina Muchova” if Karolina Muchova wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Related markets
Open Sports markets from other events — closest to this one first.
- Tirante vs Shevchenko — Aleksandr Shevchenko33 %▲ +0.0%
- UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)37 %▲ +0.0%
- BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Alexander Shevchenko75 %▲ +0.0%
- Italy vs France — France49 %▼ −2.0%
- Washington vs New York G — New York G56 %▼ −1.0%
- Commanders vs. Giants46 %▲ +2.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.