Updated 23 hr. ago
Set Handicap: Karolina Muchova (-1.5) vs Mirra Andreeva (+1.5)
22 %
Karolina Muchova
Market brief
- Down 28.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 50% on Nov 10, 2026.
- Historically, 30% of Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (3,836 cases). That is more often than their average price of 26% implied — prices in this range have run low.
- Scheduled to end in 5 days (Nov 17, 2026).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
3 outcomes- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova Set 1 Winner76 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova70 %
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova Set Handicap +/-1.522 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$971.903
24h vol.
$940.118
Liquidity
$891.96
End date
Nov 17, 2026
ends in 5 days
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$971.903
Start date
Nov 8, 2026
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Sell | 49¢ | 940 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 8 |
Rules & resolution
This market refers to the tennis match between Karolina Muchova and Mirra Andreeva in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karolina Muchova" if Karolina Muchova wins by 2 or more sets than Mirra Andreeva, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Karolina Muchova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Mirra Andreeva." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.
- Event:
- WTA Finals, Group B: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Muchova
- Resolution source:
- https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
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