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Updated 5 days ago

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
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6 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.0%1W
Yes 6¢No 95¢

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

30 outcomes

Total volume

$2.2M

24h vol.

$1.5K

1w vol.

$35.7K

1m vol.

$367.1K

Liquidity

$119.4K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 6¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Nov 24, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$6,613
4¢$73,725
3¢$38,004
2¢$26,285
1¢$223,173
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$23,141
8¢$20,861
9¢$5,505
10¢$3,005
11¢$25
12¢$700
13¢$1,250
14¢$200
15¢$100
16¢$793

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
5 days agoSell6¢6
5 days agoSell95¢0
5 days agoBuy6¢6
5 days agoSell93¢13
5 days agoBuy93¢13
5 days agoBuy94¢16,097
5 days agoBuy6¢2,607
5 days agoSell94¢13,490
5 days agoSell93¢5
5 days agoBuy93¢5
5 days agoBuy94¢600
5 days agoSell94¢600
5 days agoSell93¢8
5 days agoBuy93¢8
5 days agoBuy94¢5
5 days agoBuy6¢5
5 days agoBuy7¢23
5 days agoBuy93¢23
6 days agoBuy94¢8
6 days agoBuy6¢8
6 days agoBuy94¢5,319
6 days agoSell94¢866
6 days agoSell94¢400
6 days agoBuy6¢500
6 days agoBuy6¢3,554
6 days agoSell92¢123
6 days agoSell8¢123
6 days agoBuy93¢6,000
6 days agoSell93¢5,995
6 days agoBuy7¢5
6 days agoBuy8¢19
6 days agoSell8¢19
7 days agoBuy7¢5
7 days agoBuy93¢5
7 days agoSell6¢616
7 days agoBuy6¢446
7 days agoSell94¢50
7 days agoSell94¢30
7 days agoBuy7¢90
7 days agoBuy93¢2,632
7 days agoBuy7¢340
7 days agoBuy7¢2,292
1 wk. agoBuy93¢500
1 wk. agoBuy7¢500
1 wk. agoBuy93¢13
1 wk. agoBuy7¢13
1 wk. agoBuy93¢57
1 wk. agoBuy7¢57
1 wk. agoSell7¢202
1 wk. agoBuy7¢202

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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