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Updated 2 days ago

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?

Crypto
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10 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −3.0%1W
Yes 10¢No 91¢

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

30 outcomes

Total volume

$2M

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$50.4K

1m vol.

$289.5K

Liquidity

$102.4K

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

9¢

Start date

Nov 24, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$719
7¢$8,136
6¢$5,288
5¢$22,015
4¢$12,959
3¢$9,840
2¢$14,925
1¢$240,830
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$5,879
11¢$8,254
12¢$3,617
13¢$7,535
14¢$405
17¢$308
18¢$508
22¢$200
24¢$1,000
25¢$5,550

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 27%Sells 73%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 days agoSell8¢1,000
2 days agoBuy8¢399
2 days agoSell92¢200
2 days agoBuy8¢380
2 days agoBuy8¢6
2 days agoBuy8¢15
2 days agoSell91¢1,164
2 days agoBuy90¢175
2 days agoBuy91¢989
2 days agoBuy9¢11
2 days agoBuy91¢11
2 days agoBuy10¢20
2 days agoBuy90¢20
2 days agoBuy10¢451
2 days agoBuy90¢441
2 days agoBuy91¢10
2 days agoBuy91¢5
2 days agoBuy9¢5
2 days agoBuy91¢2
2 days agoSell91¢2
2 days agoBuy91¢1
2 days agoSell91¢1
2 days agoBuy91¢3
2 days agoSell91¢3
2 days agoBuy91¢2
2 days agoSell91¢2
2 days agoBuy91¢1
2 days agoSell91¢1
2 days agoBuy91¢2,198
2 days agoSell91¢1,558
2 days agoBuy9¢640
2 days agoSell89¢674
2 days agoBuy89¢674
3 days agoSell9¢93
3 days agoSell91¢93
3 days agoBuy10¢5
3 days agoSell10¢5
3 days agoBuy11¢93
3 days agoBuy89¢68
3 days agoBuy90¢20
3 days agoSell10¢5
3 days agoSell90¢10
3 days agoBuy90¢10
3 days agoSell9¢9,484
3 days agoSell91¢20
3 days agoBuy9¢1,000
3 days agoSell91¢8,464
3 days agoBuy91¢1,466
3 days agoSell91¢1,466
3 days agoSell9¢1,000

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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This market on Kalshi

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◆ Underlying asset

How far is the move, really?

Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.

Unlock to see the historical frequency and derivatives positioning.

Underlying asset data is a Pro+ feature

See how often the asset has actually managed the move this market needs — plus realized volatility and derivatives positioning, woven into every AI research report.

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