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Updated 27 min. ago

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▲ +1.3%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

2 outcomes

Total volume

$42.2M

24h vol.

$60.5K

1w vol.

$1M

1m vol.

$3.5M

Liquidity

$506.1K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 5¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 25, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$405
5¢$522
5¢$5,284
4¢$19,450
4¢$6,418
4¢$31,676
4¢$1,138
4¢$85,520
4¢$1,177
4¢$4,525
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$3,953
5¢$2,670
5¢$1,500
5¢$20,209
5¢$1,394
5¢$1,948
5¢$19,918
6¢$15,612
6¢$2,200
6¢$18,599

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy5¢93
1 hr. agoBuy95¢93
1 hr. agoSell95¢99
1 hr. agoBuy95¢99
1 hr. agoBuy95¢6
1 hr. agoSell95¢6
2 hr. agoBuy95¢26
2 hr. agoSell95¢26
2 hr. agoBuy95¢10
2 hr. agoSell95¢10
3 hr. agoBuy5¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy95¢1,000
3 hr. agoBuy5¢28
3 hr. agoBuy95¢28
3 hr. agoBuy5¢3,102
3 hr. agoBuy95¢1,187
3 hr. agoSell5¢107
3 hr. agoBuy95¢248
3 hr. agoBuy95¢47
3 hr. agoBuy95¢129
3 hr. agoSell5¢263
3 hr. agoBuy95¢129
3 hr. agoBuy95¢129
3 hr. agoBuy95¢128
3 hr. agoBuy95¢129
3 hr. agoBuy95¢500
3 hr. agoBuy95¢106
3 hr. agoBuy5¢248
3 hr. agoBuy95¢10
3 hr. agoBuy95¢25
3 hr. agoBuy95¢213
4 hr. agoBuy5¢1,000
4 hr. agoBuy95¢36
4 hr. agoBuy95¢137
4 hr. agoBuy95¢151
4 hr. agoBuy95¢139
4 hr. agoBuy95¢135
4 hr. agoBuy95¢250
4 hr. agoBuy95¢151
5 hr. agoBuy5¢1,000
5 hr. agoBuy95¢293
5 hr. agoBuy95¢16
5 hr. agoBuy95¢130
5 hr. agoBuy95¢428
5 hr. agoBuy95¢134
5 hr. agoBuy96¢6
5 hr. agoBuy5¢6
5 hr. agoBuy96¢6
5 hr. agoBuy5¢6
5 hr. agoBuy96¢6

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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