Skip to content

← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Ilia Topuria be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

SportssportsUFCufcmma
Log in for watchlist

0 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▼ −0.2%24h▼ −0.3%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$25.2K

24h vol.

$540.64

1w vol.

$682.89

1m vol.

$5.6K

Liquidity

$2.2K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
1¢$0
1¢$212
1¢$156
3¢$55
3¢$66
3¢$66
3¢$66
8¢$84
8¢$175
8¢$230

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy1¢13
4 wk. agoSell1¢13
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoSell1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoSell1¢5
4 wk. agoSell0¢0
4 wk. agoBuy0¢0
4 wk. agoSell0¢0
4 wk. agoBuy0¢0
4 wk. agoSell99¢52
4 wk. agoSell1¢23
4 wk. agoSell1¢9
4 wk. agoSell1¢20
4 wk. agoSell100¢100
4 wk. agoSell1¢68
4 wk. agoSell1¢32
4 wk. agoBuy1¢20
4 wk. agoSell1¢20
4 wk. agoBuy1¢15
4 wk. agoSell1¢8
4 wk. agoSell1¢7
4 wk. agoSell99¢1
4 wk. agoSell1¢1
4 wk. agoSell99¢1
4 wk. agoSell1¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢55
4 wk. agoBuy0¢4
4 wk. agoBuy0¢51
4 wk. agoBuy100¢40
4 wk. agoBuy0¢40
4 wk. agoBuy100¢197
4 wk. agoBuy0¢9
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢150
4 wk. agoBuy0¢6
4 wk. agoBuy0¢11
4 wk. agoBuy100¢40
4 wk. agoBuy0¢40
4 wk. agoBuy100¢40
4 wk. agoBuy0¢39
4 wk. agoBuy0¢1
4 wk. agoBuy100¢30
4 wk. agoBuy0¢30
4 wk. agoSell97¢30
4 wk. agoSell3¢30
4 wk. agoBuy100¢340
4 wk. agoBuy0¢29
4 wk. agoBuy0¢8
4 wk. agoBuy0¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.