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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

SportssportsUFCufcmma
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7 %

chance

▲ +1.1%1h▼ −1.5%24h▼ −1.8%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$45.2K

24h vol.

$777.007

1w vol.

$2.8K

1m vol.

$33.2K

Liquidity

$4.6K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 7¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$11
7¢$45
6¢$100
5¢$100
4¢$100
1¢$31
1¢$207
0¢$85
0¢$6,101
0¢$816
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$292
14¢$32
23¢$10
23¢$20
23¢$30
23¢$30
26¢$28
27¢$77
29¢$110
32¢$42

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 94%Sells 6%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy14¢118
4 wk. agoBuy86¢118
4 wk. agoBuy13¢11
4 wk. agoBuy87¢11
4 wk. agoBuy13¢20
4 wk. agoSell13¢20
4 wk. agoBuy12¢15
4 wk. agoBuy88¢15
4 wk. agoSell3¢53
4 wk. agoBuy3¢15
4 wk. agoBuy3¢38
4 wk. agoBuy19¢67
4 wk. agoBuy81¢67
4 wk. agoBuy92¢67
4 wk. agoBuy6¢17
4 wk. agoSell92¢20
4 wk. agoSell91¢30
4 wk. agoBuy86¢10
4 wk. agoBuy14¢10
4 wk. agoBuy86¢4
4 wk. agoBuy14¢4
4 wk. agoBuy14¢400
4 wk. agoBuy86¢80
4 wk. agoBuy86¢80
4 wk. agoBuy86¢80
4 wk. agoBuy86¢80
4 wk. agoBuy86¢80
4 wk. agoBuy14¢210
4 wk. agoBuy86¢205
4 wk. agoBuy86¢5
4 wk. agoBuy11¢24
4 wk. agoBuy89¢3
4 wk. agoBuy89¢10
4 wk. agoBuy89¢10
4 wk. agoSell11¢1
4 wk. agoBuy12¢106
4 wk. agoBuy87¢88
4 wk. agoBuy89¢10
4 wk. agoBuy89¢7
4 wk. agoBuy11¢15
4 wk. agoSell11¢5
4 wk. agoBuy89¢5
4 wk. agoBuy89¢5
4 wk. agoBuy10¢61
4 wk. agoBuy89¢3
4 wk. agoSell11¢15
4 wk. agoBuy90¢10
4 wk. agoBuy90¢33
4 wk. agoBuy97¢55
4 wk. agoBuy3¢6

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