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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Sports
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0 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h▲ +0.2%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

7 outcomes
See all 7 outcomes

Total volume

$20.7K

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$4K

1m vol.

$4.1K

Liquidity

$2K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jan 4, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$9,422
0¢$99,787
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$138
1¢$200
1¢$156
1¢$84
1¢$156
2¢$54
2¢$20
2¢$721
2¢$792
4¢$237

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 56%Sells 44%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell0¢0
4 wk. agoBuy0¢0
4 wk. agoSell0¢690
4 wk. agoBuy0¢690
4 wk. agoSell0¢67
4 wk. agoBuy0¢67
4 wk. agoSell0¢5
4 wk. agoBuy0¢5
4 wk. agoSell0¢0
4 wk. agoBuy0¢0
4 wk. agoBuy0¢721
4 wk. agoSell0¢701
4 wk. agoSell0¢19
4 wk. agoBuy0¢313
4 wk. agoSell0¢198
4 wk. agoSell0¢14
4 wk. agoSell0¢90
4 wk. agoSell0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢21
2 mo. agoBuy0¢21
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40
2 mo. agoBuy0¢40
2 mo. agoBuy100¢20
2 mo. agoBuy0¢20
2 mo. agoBuy100¢11
2 mo. agoBuy0¢11
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢30
2 mo. agoBuy0¢30
2 mo. agoBuy100¢13
2 mo. agoBuy0¢13
2 mo. agoBuy100¢29
2 mo. agoBuy0¢29
2 mo. agoBuy100¢7
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7
2 mo. agoBuy100¢14
2 mo. agoBuy0¢14
2 mo. agoBuy100¢7
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7
2 mo. agoSell0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢9
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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