← Dashboard · Sports
Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
0 %
chance
Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$531.9K
24h vol.
$311.349
1w vol.
$5.1K
1m vol.
$5.4K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jan 4, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 25 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 90 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 90 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 19 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 18 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 18 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 27 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.