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Updated 14 hr. ago

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

Politics
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26 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 26¢No 75¢

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

2 outcomes

Total volume

$2.9M

24h vol.

$6.7K

1w vol.

$378.5K

1m vol.

$1M

Liquidity

$145.6K

Bid / Ask

25¢ / 26¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

25¢

Start date

Jan 13, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
25¢$14,635
24¢$13,891
23¢$41,419
22¢$53,350
21¢$6,120
20¢$7,443
19¢$5,955
18¢$6,576
17¢$22,557
16¢$2,440
Asks (sell)Size
26¢$3,561
27¢$27,452
28¢$1,022
29¢$394
30¢$8,945
31¢$164
32¢$410
33¢$2,850
34¢$576
35¢$4,516

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 58%Sells 42%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
15 hr. agoSell25¢517
15 hr. agoBuy25¢517
16 hr. agoSell74¢6
16 hr. agoSell26¢6
18 hr. agoBuy75¢13
18 hr. agoBuy25¢13
18 hr. agoBuy75¢126
18 hr. agoBuy25¢126
19 hr. agoBuy75¢26
19 hr. agoBuy25¢26
20 hr. agoSell74¢750
20 hr. agoSell26¢537
20 hr. agoBuy74¢213
22 hr. agoSell74¢10
22 hr. agoBuy74¢10
22 hr. agoBuy75¢95
22 hr. agoBuy25¢95
22 hr. agoSell74¢167
22 hr. agoBuy74¢167
22 hr. agoBuy75¢10
22 hr. agoBuy25¢10
22 hr. agoBuy75¢167
22 hr. agoBuy25¢167
23 hr. agoBuy75¢389
23 hr. agoBuy25¢389
23 hr. agoSell74¢10
23 hr. agoBuy74¢10
1 day agoBuy75¢160
1 day agoBuy25¢160
1 day agoSell74¢102
1 day agoSell26¢82
1 day agoBuy74¢20
1 day agoBuy75¢13
1 day agoBuy25¢13
1 day agoBuy26¢38
1 day agoBuy74¢38
1 day agoSell74¢103
1 day agoSell26¢103
1 day agoBuy75¢7
1 day agoBuy25¢7
1 day agoBuy26¢167
1 day agoSell26¢67
1 day agoBuy74¢100
1 day agoBuy75¢27
1 day agoBuy25¢27
1 day agoBuy75¢7
1 day agoBuy25¢7
1 day agoSell74¢400
1 day agoBuy74¢400
1 day agoBuy75¢133

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