← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 3 min. ago
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Politics
28 %
chance
▲ +1.5%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 28¢No 73¢
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
3 outcomes- December 3128 %
- October 3117 %
- August 319 %
Total volume
$1M
24h vol.
$56.6K
1w vol.
$287.6K
1m vol.
$663K
Liquidity
$90.1K
Bid / Ask
27¢ / 28¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
28¢
Start date
Jan 13, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 5 mo.
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Bids (buy)Size
27¢$1,100
26¢$5,573
25¢$10,263
24¢$11,153
23¢$12,599
22¢$12,235
21¢$12,466
20¢$17,077
19¢$3,518
18¢$4,548
Asks (sell)Size
28¢$2,225
29¢$1,890
30¢$4,679
31¢$4,560
32¢$4,896
33¢$3,753
34¢$112
35¢$232
36¢$78
37¢$4,050
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Recent trades (50)
Buys 63%Sells 37%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 min. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 7 |
| 48 min. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 7 |
| 54 min. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 18 |
| 54 min. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 18 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 100 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 80 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 36 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 36 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 8 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1,364 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 395 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 108 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 816 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 71 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 71 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 96 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 96 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 4 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 98 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 88 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 27¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 179 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 179 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 1,170 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 880 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 121 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 129 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 19 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 19 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 38 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 38 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 68 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 68 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 0 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 0 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.