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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
82 %
chance
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$404.1K
24h vol.
$210.122
1w vol.
$29.3K
1m vol.
$374.7K
Liquidity
$115.5K
Bid / Ask
81¢ / 82¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
82¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 80¢ | 192 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 192 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 121 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 121 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 1,357 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 75 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 400 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 585 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 291 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 135 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 135 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 187 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 187 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 800 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 710 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 90 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 53 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 53 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 244 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 184 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 60 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 90 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 90 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 774 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 774 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 6,771 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 4,746 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 2,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 80¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 25 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 9 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 9 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 81¢ | 1 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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