Skip to content

Next Prime Minister of Spain? odds

Live implied probabilities across 16 outcomes · $1.9M traded · updated 2 days ago

Resolves Apr 1, 2028

Alberto Núñez Feijóo leads at 82 % · biggest 24h move: Pedro Sánchez −0.7 pp

Show all 16 outcomes

Market Guy's AI runs research on these markets daily — sign up to see where it disagrees.

See the AI's number

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Next Prime Minister of Spain??
Alberto Núñez Feijóo is the current favourite at 82 %, ahead of 15 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
What do these odds actually mean?
Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
How often do these odds update?
Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
How to read the odds

Related events

Fed Decision in October?No change88 %5 outcomes$48.1MPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot47 %19 outcomes$48.7MNext French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen47 %42 outcomes$153.7MRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance44 %43 outcomes$713.5MDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028Gavin Newsom16 %53 outcomes$1,295.1MWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?No Hormuz Agreement85 %3 outcomes$2.1M

Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.

Start free