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Updated 18 hr. ago

Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
9 %
chance
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$46.4K
24h vol.
$63.83
1w vol.
$7.7K
1m vol.
$21.5K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 10¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 90¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 0 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 40 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 89¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 8 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 87¢ | 157 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 12¢ | 7 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 13¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 14¢ | 439 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 154 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 75 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 14¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 86¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 88¢ | 49 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 10¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 12¢ | 48 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 89¢ | 132 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 72 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 11¢ | 45 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 5 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 89¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 92¢ | 647 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 74 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 92¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 92¢ | 400 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 11 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 2 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 92¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 9¢ | 268 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 115 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 28 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 126 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 7¢ | 1,359 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 8¢ | 172 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 92¢ | 196 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 93¢ | 432 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 93¢ | 215 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 7¢ | 257 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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