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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
77 %
chance
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$60.8K
24h vol.
$153
1w vol.
$4.6K
1m vol.
$21.2K
Liquidity
$4K
Bid / Ask
77¢ / 78¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
77¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 42 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 17 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 25 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 11 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 561 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 41 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 170 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 89 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 9 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 44¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 1 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 31 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 37 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 50¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 16 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 16 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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