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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
4 %
chance
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$41.3K
24h vol.
$155.274
1w vol.
$6.2K
1m vol.
$24.7K
Liquidity
$2.4K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 6¢
Spread 3¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Jun 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 47¢ | 74 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 53¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 26 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 48¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 18 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 64 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 64 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 60 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 60 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 8 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 90 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 4 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 49¢ | 4 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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