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Updated 20 hr. ago

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
10 %
chance
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
2 outcomes- June 30, 202710 %
- December 31, 20262 %
Total volume
$653.2K
24h vol.
$5K
1w vol.
$54.4K
1m vol.
$210.5K
Liquidity
$161.6K
Bid / Ask
9¢ / 10¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
10¢
Start date
Jul 6, 2026
End date
Jul 1, 2027
ends in 8 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 2,000 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 383 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 100 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 291 |
| 22 hr. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 273 |
| 22 hr. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 853 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 90¢ | 3,000 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 10¢ | 3,000 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 91¢ | 3 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 9¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 13 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 13 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 4 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 15,861 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 2,018 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 500 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 3,808 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 222 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 7,763 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 150 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 191 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 59 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 56 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 56 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 839 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 218 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 271 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 350 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 10¢ | 25 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 89¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 182 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 146 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 89¢ | 36 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 91¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 9¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 90¢ | 76 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 90¢ | 76 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 11¢ | 25 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
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