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Updated 35 min. ago

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

GeopoliticsCultureWorld

64 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +24.0%24h▲ +21.0%1W
Yes 64¢No 37¢
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Market brief

  • Up 21.0 pp over the past week (+24.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 33% on Nov 11, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 16 buys, 34 sells; the largest was $1.26K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 49% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (11,594 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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Understand this market

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Total volume

$170K

24h vol.

$43.3K

Liquidity

$9.6K

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$64.1K

1m vol.

$108.4K

Bid / Ask

63¢ / 64¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

64¢

Start date

Jul 10, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
63¢$1,031
62¢$110
61¢$4,494
60¢$4,500
55¢$65
53¢$308
47¢$271
42¢$516
41¢$259
38¢$175
Asks (sell)Size
64¢$100
65¢$397
66¢$150
67¢$236
68¢$500
71¢$50
72¢$50
73¢$55
74¢$75
75¢$822

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 3%Sells 97%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 hr. agoBuy65¢5
7 hr. agoSell62¢39
8 hr. agoSell62¢19
8 hr. agoBuy65¢6
8 hr. agoBuy64¢30
9 hr. agoSell62¢2,815
9 hr. agoSell62¢1,429
9 hr. agoSell63¢4
9 hr. agoSell63¢13
9 hr. agoSell66¢365
9 hr. agoBuy67¢87
10 hr. agoSell66¢15
10 hr. agoSell66¢14
10 hr. agoSell66¢200
10 hr. agoSell66¢6
10 hr. agoBuy67¢13
10 hr. agoBuy67¢17
10 hr. agoBuy67¢4
10 hr. agoSell65¢1,936
11 hr. agoBuy68¢3
11 hr. agoSell66¢15
11 hr. agoSell66¢87
11 hr. agoSell65¢23
11 hr. agoSell66¢6
11 hr. agoBuy68¢12
11 hr. agoSell66¢5
11 hr. agoBuy68¢5
11 hr. agoBuy68¢3
11 hr. agoBuy68¢6
11 hr. agoSell66¢9
11 hr. agoSell65¢300
11 hr. agoSell66¢15
11 hr. agoSell66¢6
11 hr. agoSell66¢200
11 hr. agoSell66¢14
11 hr. agoSell66¢142
11 hr. agoSell66¢9
11 hr. agoSell66¢300
12 hr. agoSell67¢10
12 hr. agoSell67¢90
12 hr. agoBuy69¢5
12 hr. agoSell69¢29
12 hr. agoBuy69¢39
12 hr. agoSell69¢151
12 hr. agoSell70¢105
12 hr. agoSell70¢17
12 hr. agoSell70¢111
12 hr. agoSell70¢100
12 hr. agoBuy71¢1
12 hr. agoBuy71¢50
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including photographs or video from reputable media outlets.

Event:
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

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