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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?

Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?

PoliticsSportsGeopoliticsCultureWorld

13 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 13¢No 88¢
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Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 13 buys, 37 sells; the largest was $987 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 8% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before the end resolved YES (409 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

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✦ AI assessment

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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$17K

24h vol.

$80.313

Liquidity

$2.8K

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

What a plan adds on this market

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$1.2K

1m vol.

$17K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 13¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Oct 28, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
18¢$160
17¢$6
16¢$330
15¢$664
12¢$614
11¢$2,049
10¢$70
9¢$62
8¢$20
7¢$301
Asks (sell)Size
20¢$236
21¢$345
23¢$274
24¢$575
29¢$25
31¢$100
32¢$124
33¢$550
41¢$8
59¢$49

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 44%Sells 56%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoSell18¢1
2 wk. agoBuy20¢1,000
2 wk. agoSell14¢203
2 wk. agoSell17¢48
2 wk. agoBuy18¢17
2 wk. agoSell17¢28
2 wk. agoSell17¢3
2 wk. agoBuy19¢80
2 wk. agoBuy19¢800
2 wk. agoSell18¢30
2 wk. agoBuy19¢27
2 wk. agoSell17¢9
2 wk. agoSell17¢12
2 wk. agoSell18¢7
2 wk. agoBuy18¢13
2 wk. agoBuy18¢7
2 wk. agoSell17¢69
2 wk. agoSell18¢6
2 wk. agoSell17¢20
2 wk. agoSell18¢41
2 wk. agoBuy19¢67
2 wk. agoBuy20¢20
2 wk. agoBuy20¢29
2 wk. agoBuy19¢149
2 wk. agoSell18¢44
2 wk. agoSell18¢12
2 wk. agoSell18¢100
2 wk. agoSell18¢24
2 wk. agoSell18¢97
2 wk. agoSell18¢125
2 wk. agoSell18¢500
2 wk. agoSell18¢5
2 wk. agoSell18¢20
2 wk. agoSell18¢13
2 wk. agoSell18¢2
2 wk. agoSell18¢50
2 wk. agoSell18¢25
2 wk. agoSell18¢100
2 wk. agoSell17¢25
2 wk. agoSell17¢32
2 wk. agoSell17¢20
2 wk. agoSell17¢34
2 wk. agoSell20¢1,233
2 wk. agoSell18¢20
2 wk. agoSell19¢20
2 wk. agoSell18¢5
2 wk. agoSell19¢19
2 wk. agoSell19¢20
2 wk. agoBuy23¢129
2 wk. agoBuy23¢20
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a Real Madrid CF men’s first-team match is broadcast live on an official China Central Television (CCTV) channel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying broadcast must air live, in full or in part, on an official CCTV television channel (e.g., CCTV-5 or CCTV-5+). Highlights, replays, delayed broadcasts, and streams available only on online platforms, including CCTV’s own online and mobile platforms such as Yangshipin (央视频), will not qualify. Any match involving Real Madrid CF’s men’s first team, including league, cup, continental, and friendly matches, will qualify. Kylian Mbappé does not need to play in or appear on screen during the broadcast. The primary resolution source for this market will be official CCTV broadcasting; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event:
Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026?

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