Updated 7 hr. ago

Will Alice Huang be federally charged by March 31, 2027?
17 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 33 buys, 17 sells; the largest was $9.09K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (192 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
- Scheduled to end in 5 mo. (Apr 1, 2027).
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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Alice Huang federally charged by?
2 outcomes- March 31, 202717 %
- December 31, 20265 %
Understand this market
Background that stays useful after this market resolves.
Total volume
$56.2K
24h vol.
$5.5K
Liquidity
$11.6K
End date
Apr 1, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates
1w vol.
$56.2K
Bid / Ask
16¢ / 18¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Nov 9, 2026
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 204 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 200 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 3,659 |
| 23 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 98 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 118 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 20¢ | 213 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 685 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 4 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 19¢ | 1,315 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 17¢ | 11,009 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1,213 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 16¢ | 60 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 17¢ | 12 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 60 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 36 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 146 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 146 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 300 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 400 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 310 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 17¢ | 55 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 18¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 0 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 19¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 16¢ | 407 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 20¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 20¢ | 2,515 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 17¢ | 702 |
Rules & resolution
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le), a former executive of Megaspeed International, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A federal criminal complaint, information, or indictment naming Huang as a defendant will qualify. Charges filed under seal will qualify only once they are unsealed or publicly announced by the US federal government within this market's timeframe, regardless of when they were originally filed. Charges against Megaspeed International or any other entity or individual, civil actions, sanctions, and export-control penalties will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Event:
- Alice Huang federally charged by?
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