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Updated 1 wk. ago

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?
0 %
chance
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
5 outcomes- No Change69 %
- 25 bps increase30 %
- 25 bps decrease0 %
- 50+ bps increase0 %
- 50+ bps decrease0 %
Total volume
$24.5K
24h vol.
$552.18
1w vol.
$1K
1m vol.
$8K
Liquidity
$8.7K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 16, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
No orders
Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 111 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 17 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 94 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 869 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 169 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 689 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 49 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 214 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 65 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 116 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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