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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?

Tech
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6 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▲ +4.9%24h▲ +3.9%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$24.9K

24h vol.

$948.97

1w vol.

$1.3K

1m vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$3.4K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 11¢

Spread 10¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
22¢$355
21¢$353
20¢$1,910
19¢$5,917
7¢$143
6¢$918
5¢$1,253
4¢$1,292
3¢$1,364
2¢$1,520
Asks (sell)Size
24¢$423
25¢$811
26¢$470
27¢$409
28¢$50
30¢$280
34¢$50
35¢$205
40¢$215
41¢$43

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 15%Sells 85%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoSell22¢3
2 mo. agoSell78¢3
2 mo. agoSell23¢700
2 mo. agoBuy23¢3
2 mo. agoSell77¢76
2 mo. agoSell77¢200
2 mo. agoSell77¢421
2 mo. agoSell76¢1
2 mo. agoSell24¢1
2 mo. agoSell23¢50
2 mo. agoSell77¢50
2 mo. agoBuy24¢4
2 mo. agoSell24¢4
2 mo. agoSell23¢2,276
2 mo. agoSell77¢1,328
2 mo. agoSell77¢400
2 mo. agoBuy24¢8
2 mo. agoBuy24¢414
2 mo. agoBuy24¢126
2 mo. agoSell25¢501
2 mo. agoBuy24¢74
2 mo. agoBuy24¢50
2 mo. agoSell75¢68
2 mo. agoBuy25¢50
2 mo. agoSell75¢30
2 mo. agoSell75¢51
2 mo. agoSell75¢77
2 mo. agoBuy25¢100
2 mo. agoSell73¢27
2 mo. agoSell27¢27
2 mo. agoSell74¢38
2 mo. agoBuy74¢27
2 mo. agoSell26¢10
2 mo. agoSell26¢140
2 mo. agoSell74¢114
2 mo. agoBuy26¢11
2 mo. agoSell74¢16
2 mo. agoSell26¢500
2 mo. agoBuy26¢140
2 mo. agoBuy26¢100
2 mo. agoSell74¢260
2 mo. agoBuy27¢100
2 mo. agoBuy73¢100
2 mo. agoSell26¢5
2 mo. agoSell74¢5
2 mo. agoBuy74¢10
2 mo. agoSell74¢10
2 mo. agoBuy74¢7
2 mo. agoSell74¢7
2 mo. agoSell73¢16

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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