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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
1 %
chance
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
25 outcomes- Dolly Parton55 %
- Hayden Panettiere28 %
- Oliver Tree8 %
- Chuck Norris6 %
- Renée Good4 %
- Ali Khamenei1 %
- Alex Pretti1 %
- Lindsey Graham1 %
- Kyle Busch0 %
- James Van Der Beek0 %
- Jesse Jackson0 %
- Nicholas Brendon0 %
- Bob Weir0 %
- Robert Duvall0 %
- Ted Turner0 %
- Eric Dane0 %
- Victor Willis0 %
- David Hockney0 %
- Catherine O'Hara0 %
- Valentino Garavani0 %
- Alan Greenspan0 %
- Scott Adams0 %
- Clive Davis0 %
- Bonnie Tyler0 %
- Sam Neill0 %
Total volume
$34.7K
24h vol.
$209.52
1w vol.
$2.6K
1m vol.
$5.8K
Liquidity
$8.3K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 2¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Jul 17, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 2,222 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 58 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 54 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 75 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1,500 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1,360 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 208 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 245 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 45 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 79 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 19 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 90¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 8 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 32 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 1,136 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 924 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 24 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 24 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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