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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Oliver Tree be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?
8 %
chance
#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
25 outcomes- Dolly Parton55 %
- Hayden Panettiere28 %
- Oliver Tree8 %
- Chuck Norris6 %
- Renée Good4 %
- Ali Khamenei1 %
- Alex Pretti1 %
- Lindsey Graham1 %
- Kyle Busch0 %
- James Van Der Beek0 %
- Jesse Jackson0 %
- Nicholas Brendon0 %
- Bob Weir0 %
- Robert Duvall0 %
- Ted Turner0 %
- Eric Dane0 %
- Victor Willis0 %
- David Hockney0 %
- Catherine O'Hara0 %
- Valentino Garavani0 %
- Alan Greenspan0 %
- Scott Adams0 %
- Clive Davis0 %
- Bonnie Tyler0 %
- Sam Neill0 %
Total volume
$17.8K
24h vol.
$307.76
1w vol.
$343.04
1m vol.
$3K
Liquidity
$3.4K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 9¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
8¢
Start date
Jul 17, 2026
End date
Dec 31, 2026
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 714 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 240 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 82 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 83¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 62 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 20 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 43 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 43 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 88 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 12 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 15 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 23 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 16¢ | 478 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 87 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 240 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 14¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 87¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 13¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 900 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 900 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 610 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 258 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 40 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 87 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 26 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 77 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 32 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 30 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 129 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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