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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026?
2 %
chance
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
3 outcomes- No release by November 198 %
- October 19–October 252 %
- October 26–November 12 %
Total volume
$20K
24h vol.
$691.051
1w vol.
$892.796
1m vol.
$18.5K
Liquidity
$12.6K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Aug 17, 2026
End date
Oct 25, 2026
ends in 6 days
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 96 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 70 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 12 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 9¢ | 14 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 31 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 28 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 11¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 70 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 3,727 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 89¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 17 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 3,540 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 7 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 88¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 3 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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