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Updated 5 min. ago
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?
98 %
chance
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
3 outcomes- No release by November 198 %
- October 19–October 252 %
- October 26–November 12 %
Total volume
$166K
24h vol.
$16.8K
1w vol.
$20.7K
1m vol.
$122.2K
Liquidity
$8.1K
Bid / Ask
97¢ / 98¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
95¢
Start date
Aug 17, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 290 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% seven days before resolution, 97.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 25 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 25 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 132 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 75 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 37 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 128 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 98 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 80 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 103 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 58 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 25 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 120 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 120 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 190 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 145 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 25 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 204 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 204 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 0 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 140 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 100 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 22 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 22 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 60 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 30 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 10 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 40 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 20 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 300 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 300 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 440 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 40 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 400 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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