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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?
2 %
chance
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
3 outcomes- No release by November 198 %
- October 19–October 252 %
- October 26–November 12 %
Total volume
$12.2K
24h vol.
$400.837
1w vol.
$593.417
1m vol.
$6.7K
Liquidity
$13.4K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 3¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
Aug 17, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 72 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 22 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 18 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 65 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 56 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 90¢ | 18 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 18 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 10¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 12¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 77 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 2 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 33 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 84¢ | 14 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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