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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

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72 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h▼ −5.0%1W
Yes 72¢No 28¢

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$46.4K

24h vol.

$7.1K

1w vol.

$16.1K

1m vol.

$34.2K

Liquidity

$68.9K

Bid / Ask

71¢ / 73¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

73¢

Start date

Aug 20, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
86¢$40
85¢$117
84¢$20
83¢$100
82¢$150
81¢$100
80¢$106
78¢$9
77¢$10
76¢$132
Asks (sell)Size
87¢$60
88¢$572
89¢$151
90¢$445
91¢$23
93¢$20
95¢$70
96¢$150
97¢$489
98¢$395

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 61%Sells 39%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell12¢156
1 mo. agoBuy12¢156
1 mo. agoSell12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoBuy88¢20
1 mo. agoBuy12¢20
1 mo. agoSell13¢60
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy13¢20
1 mo. agoBuy14¢11
1 mo. agoSell14¢11
1 mo. agoBuy87¢11
1 mo. agoBuy13¢11
1 mo. agoBuy87¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢15
1 mo. agoBuy87¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢15
1 mo. agoSell13¢15
1 mo. agoBuy13¢15
1 mo. agoBuy87¢13
1 mo. agoBuy13¢13
1 mo. agoBuy87¢70
1 mo. agoBuy13¢13
1 mo. agoSell87¢17
1 mo. agoSell87¢40
1 mo. agoBuy86¢3
1 mo. agoSell86¢3
1 mo. agoBuy15¢33
1 mo. agoBuy85¢33
1 mo. agoSell85¢3
1 mo. agoBuy85¢3
1 mo. agoSell85¢89
1 mo. agoBuy85¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢40
1 mo. agoBuy85¢29
1 mo. agoSell14¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢20
1 mo. agoBuy86¢20
1 mo. agoSell86¢20
1 mo. agoBuy85¢40
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy15¢20
1 mo. agoBuy16¢6
1 mo. agoBuy84¢6
1 mo. agoSell84¢40
1 mo. agoBuy84¢40
1 mo. agoSell83¢60
1 mo. agoBuy83¢60
1 mo. agoBuy17¢20

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