← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
54 %
chance
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
3 outcomes- December 3172 %
- November 3054 %
- October 3113 %
Total volume
$34K
24h vol.
$4.4K
1w vol.
$29.9K
1m vol.
$34K
Liquidity
$45.6K
Bid / Ask
53¢ / 55¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
50¢
Start date
Oct 9, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,870 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 31 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 12 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 95 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 95 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 35¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 492 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 27 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 250 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 68¢ | 165 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 75 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 75 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 105 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 62¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.