← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
13 %
chance
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
3 outcomes- December 3172 %
- November 3054 %
- October 3113 %
Total volume
$130.9K
24h vol.
$2.9K
1w vol.
$28.6K
1m vol.
$121.7K
Liquidity
$22.9K
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 14¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
12¢
Start date
Aug 20, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 221 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 29¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 23 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 7 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 28¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 28¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 140 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 67¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 43 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 257 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 63 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 68¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 31¢ | 28 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.