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Updated 1 day ago

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?

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8 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h▼ −15.0%1W
Yes 8¢No 93¢

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$339.8K

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$50.2K

1m vol.

$299.3K

Liquidity

$21.1K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 8¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$1,508
5¢$5,606
4¢$10,531
3¢$1,681
2¢$8,395
1¢$29,135
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$22
9¢$480
10¢$46
11¢$5
18¢$142
20¢$50
21¢$85
24¢$100
25¢$20
26¢$400

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy8¢538
1 day agoBuy90¢75
1 day agoSell9¢10
1 day agoBuy91¢44
1 day agoSell8¢98
1 day agoBuy92¢200
1 day agoBuy92¢100
1 day agoSell7¢11
1 day agoBuy94¢27
1 day agoBuy6¢27
1 day agoBuy93¢751
1 day agoSell93¢74
1 day agoSell93¢20
1 day agoBuy7¢657
1 day agoSell92¢0
1 day agoBuy92¢0
1 day agoBuy93¢22
1 day agoBuy7¢22
2 days agoBuy93¢21
2 days agoBuy7¢21
2 days agoBuy93¢1
2 days agoBuy7¢1
2 days agoBuy93¢200
2 days agoBuy7¢200
2 days agoBuy93¢200
2 days agoBuy7¢100
2 days agoSell93¢100
2 days agoSell7¢5
2 days agoSell93¢5
2 days agoSell8¢30
2 days agoSell92¢30
2 days agoSell92¢2,731
2 days agoBuy92¢2,700
2 days agoBuy92¢20
2 days agoBuy92¢11
2 days agoBuy9¢20
2 days agoBuy91¢20
2 days agoBuy8¢21
2 days agoBuy92¢11
2 days agoSell8¢10
2 days agoSell93¢1,205
2 days agoBuy88¢98
2 days agoSell11¢23
2 days agoSell10¢21
2 days agoBuy90¢5
2 days agoBuy92¢20
2 days agoSell8¢216
2 days agoBuy93¢80
2 days agoSell7¢174
2 days agoBuy93¢202

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