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Updated 42 min. ago

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?

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22 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +2.5%24h▼ −18.0%1W
Yes 22¢No 79¢

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$298.9K

24h vol.

$29.6K

1w vol.

$234.8K

1m vol.

$279.3K

Liquidity

$24.6K

Bid / Ask

20¢ / 23¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

23¢

Start date

Sep 2, 2026

End date

Nov 30, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
20¢$1,220
19¢$1,329
18¢$1,523
17¢$1,593
16¢$1,400
15¢$1,025
14¢$59
12¢$196
11¢$606
10¢$2,692
Asks (sell)Size
21¢$8
22¢$740
23¢$1,156
24¢$106
25¢$10
34¢$242
35¢$630
42¢$90
43¢$15
49¢$320

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 6%Sells 94%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
45 min. agoBuy21¢14
45 min. agoBuy79¢5
45 min. agoBuy79¢9
47 min. agoSell78¢0
47 min. agoBuy78¢0
47 min. agoBuy21¢52
47 min. agoBuy79¢8
47 min. agoSell21¢44
3 hr. agoSell79¢88
3 hr. agoBuy78¢29
3 hr. agoBuy79¢15
3 hr. agoBuy79¢17
3 hr. agoBuy79¢25
3 hr. agoBuy21¢479
3 hr. agoBuy79¢177
3 hr. agoSell21¢42
3 hr. agoBuy79¢22
3 hr. agoBuy79¢50
3 hr. agoBuy79¢50
3 hr. agoBuy79¢88
3 hr. agoSell20¢50
3 hr. agoBuy21¢177
3 hr. agoBuy79¢177
4 hr. agoSell80¢25
4 hr. agoSell20¢25
5 hr. agoBuy20¢50
5 hr. agoSell20¢44
5 hr. agoSell20¢6
5 hr. agoSell80¢4
5 hr. agoSell20¢4
6 hr. agoBuy82¢100
6 hr. agoBuy18¢83
6 hr. agoBuy19¢17
6 hr. agoBuy81¢593
6 hr. agoBuy19¢89
6 hr. agoBuy19¢50
6 hr. agoBuy19¢6
6 hr. agoSell81¢6
6 hr. agoBuy19¢50
6 hr. agoSell81¢392
6 hr. agoBuy81¢89
6 hr. agoBuy19¢89
8 hr. agoSell80¢1
8 hr. agoSell20¢1
11 hr. agoSell19¢358
11 hr. agoSell81¢358
11 hr. agoSell80¢10,025
11 hr. agoSell20¢10,025
11 hr. agoSell80¢9,082
11 hr. agoSell20¢9,082

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