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Updated 9 hr. ago

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?
30 %
chance
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
3 outcomes- December 3192 %
- October 3130 %
- October 238 %
Total volume
$94.4K
24h vol.
$4.5K
1w vol.
$38.3K
1m vol.
$91.1K
Liquidity
$5.7K
Bid / Ask
29¢ / 30¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
46¢
Start date
Sep 4, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 80 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 80 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 46¢ | 23 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 54¢ | 13 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 45¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 9 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 9 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 49 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 49 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 40 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 10 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 20 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 10 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 54 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 10 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 65¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 11 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 64¢ | 13 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 5 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 15 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 29 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 29 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 81 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 81 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 51 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 10 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 41 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 59 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 60¢ | 59 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 407 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 47¢ | 65 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 50 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 39¢ | 87 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 63¢ | 13 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 11 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 51 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 100 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Sell | 30¢ | 10 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 19 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 19 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 29¢ | 9 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 11 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 31¢ | 20 |
| 16 hr. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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