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Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?

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8 %

chance

▼ −2.5%1h▼ −0.4%24h▼ −3.4%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$70.2K

24h vol.

$7.4K

1w vol.

$37.5K

1m vol.

$70.2K

Liquidity

$1.2K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 9¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Sep 23, 2026

End date

Oct 23, 2026

ends in 4 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$105
6¢$60
6¢$19
5¢$5
4¢$6
4¢$83
3¢$286
3¢$281
3¢$2,347
3¢$1,321
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$73
9¢$51
9¢$5
10¢$10
10¢$50
11¢$11
26¢$23
26¢$20
28¢$10
28¢$70

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
31 min. agoBuy93¢22
31 min. agoBuy7¢22
34 min. agoBuy93¢50
34 min. agoSell93¢35
34 min. agoBuy7¢10
34 min. agoBuy7¢5
34 min. agoBuy92¢190
34 min. agoBuy8¢50
34 min. agoBuy8¢120
34 min. agoBuy8¢20
54 min. agoBuy93¢10
54 min. agoBuy7¢0
54 min. agoSell93¢10
56 min. agoBuy10¢175
56 min. agoSell10¢40
56 min. agoBuy90¢5
56 min. agoSell10¢10
56 min. agoBuy90¢100
56 min. agoBuy90¢20
56 min. agoBuy94¢5
56 min. agoBuy6¢5
56 min. agoBuy9¢5
56 min. agoBuy91¢5
56 min. agoBuy91¢5
56 min. agoBuy9¢5
56 min. agoBuy94¢8
56 min. agoBuy6¢5
56 min. agoBuy6¢4
56 min. agoBuy94¢115
56 min. agoBuy6¢115
56 min. agoBuy9¢54
56 min. agoBuy91¢49
56 min. agoBuy92¢5
56 min. agoBuy94¢10
56 min. agoBuy6¢10
56 min. agoBuy94¢1
56 min. agoBuy6¢1
56 min. agoBuy94¢5
56 min. agoBuy6¢5
56 min. agoBuy91¢545
56 min. agoBuy8¢5
56 min. agoSell91¢300
56 min. agoBuy9¢35
56 min. agoBuy9¢102
56 min. agoSell91¢58
56 min. agoBuy9¢10
56 min. agoBuy9¢15
56 min. agoBuy9¢10
56 min. agoBuy9¢10
3 hr. agoBuy89¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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