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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Peyz win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?

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11 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▲ +4.0%1W
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Total volume

$12.9K

24h vol.

$902.49

1w vol.

$9K

1m vol.

$10.4K

Liquidity

$21.3K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 12¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Nov 29, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$400
4¢$2,210
3¢$389
2¢$250
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$223
11¢$200
22¢$100
32¢$20
33¢$33
51¢$118
53¢$126
95¢$34
96¢$43
99¢$62

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (36)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy7¢675
3 wk. agoBuy90¢99
3 wk. agoBuy93¢555
3 wk. agoSell6¢21
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy96¢135
4 wk. agoBuy4¢135
4 wk. agoBuy96¢24
4 wk. agoBuy4¢24
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy96¢25
4 wk. agoBuy4¢25
4 wk. agoBuy96¢36
4 wk. agoBuy4¢36
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy96¢20
4 wk. agoBuy4¢20
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy96¢5
4 wk. agoBuy4¢5
4 wk. agoBuy6¢21
4 wk. agoBuy94¢21
4 wk. agoSell5¢8
4 wk. agoBuy5¢8
4 wk. agoSell5¢8
4 wk. agoBuy5¢8
1 mo. agoSell5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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