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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Zeka win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?

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10 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +1.6%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 10¢No 90¢

Total volume

$1K

24h vol.

$161.44

1w vol.

$999.741

1m vol.

$1K

Liquidity

$835.345

Bid / Ask

9¢ / 10¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

10¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Nov 29, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$116
7¢$122
7¢$612
7¢$50
6¢$100
5¢$66
5¢$697
2¢$300
1¢$51
1¢$92
Asks (sell)Size
10¢$433
10¢$576
10¢$50
10¢$250
11¢$54
20¢$100
30¢$40
30¢$20
35¢$45
35¢$21

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (33)

Buys 93%Sells 7%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell92¢50
4 wk. agoBuy92¢50
4 wk. agoBuy7¢213
4 wk. agoBuy92¢16
4 wk. agoBuy93¢124
4 wk. agoBuy93¢50
4 wk. agoSell7¢24
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢25
4 wk. agoBuy5¢25
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢36
4 wk. agoBuy5¢36
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢135
4 wk. agoBuy5¢135
4 wk. agoBuy95¢20
4 wk. agoBuy5¢20
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢21
4 wk. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoSell1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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