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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Keria win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?

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3 %

chance

▼ −4.3%24h▼ −4.7%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$286.1

24h vol.

$270.1

1w vol.

$278.1

1m vol.

$286.1

Liquidity

$1.3K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 6¢

Spread 6¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Nov 29, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$150
0¢$256
0¢$2,242
0¢$105
Asks (sell)Size
6¢$21
8¢$222
15¢$50
24¢$40
24¢$65
25¢$13
30¢$50
30¢$100
30¢$58
31¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (25)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy98¢135
4 wk. agoBuy1¢43
4 wk. agoBuy2¢92
4 wk. agoBuy98¢24
4 wk. agoBuy2¢24
4 wk. agoBuy98¢5
4 wk. agoBuy2¢5
4 wk. agoBuy98¢5
4 wk. agoBuy2¢5
4 wk. agoBuy98¢36
4 wk. agoBuy2¢36
4 wk. agoBuy98¢5
4 wk. agoBuy2¢5
4 wk. agoBuy98¢25
4 wk. agoBuy2¢25
4 wk. agoBuy98¢20
4 wk. agoBuy2¢20
4 wk. agoBuy98¢5
4 wk. agoBuy2¢5
4 wk. agoBuy98¢5
4 wk. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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