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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Xun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?

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5 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −1.0%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$907.061

24h vol.

$380.6

1w vol.

$470.6

1m vol.

$907.061

Liquidity

$1.5K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 7¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Nov 29, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$30
5¢$375
4¢$50
3¢$522
2¢$5,000
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$65
8¢$250
10¢$222
20¢$100
27¢$40
28¢$70
29¢$20
31¢$45
32¢$20
34¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢135
4 wk. agoBuy5¢135
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢36
4 wk. agoBuy5¢10
4 wk. agoBuy5¢26
4 wk. agoBuy95¢25
4 wk. agoBuy5¢25
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoBuy95¢5
4 wk. agoBuy5¢5
4 wk. agoSell5¢6
4 wk. agoBuy5¢6
4 wk. agoSell6¢6
4 wk. agoBuy6¢6
4 wk. agoSell6¢26
4 wk. agoBuy6¢6
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoSell6¢26
4 wk. agoBuy6¢26
4 wk. agoSell6¢6
4 wk. agoBuy6¢6
4 wk. agoSell6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢20
4 wk. agoSell6¢20
4 wk. agoBuy6¢6
4 wk. agoBuy6¢14
4 wk. agoBuy94¢6
4 wk. agoBuy6¢6
4 wk. agoSell7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoSell7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy93¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy93¢20
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢15
4 wk. agoBuy93¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy93¢5
4 wk. agoBuy7¢5
4 wk. agoBuy93¢21
4 wk. agoBuy7¢21
1 mo. agoSell5¢8
1 mo. agoBuy5¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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