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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Smash win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?

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3 %

chance

▼ −7.5%24h▼ −7.5%1W
Yes 3¢No 98¢

Total volume

$151.1

24h vol.

$135.1

1w vol.

$143.1

1m vol.

$151.1

Liquidity

$782.347

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Sep 9, 2026

End date

Nov 29, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$198
1¢$150
1¢$90
0¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$21
5¢$333
20¢$100
26¢$85
26¢$10
30¢$20
32¢$150
32¢$64
33¢$50
33¢$64

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (25)

Buys 97%Sells 3%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy99¢25
4 wk. agoBuy1¢25
4 wk. agoBuy99¢36
4 wk. agoBuy1¢36
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy99¢24
4 wk. agoBuy1¢24
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy99¢20
4 wk. agoBuy1¢20
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
4 wk. agoBuy99¢5
4 wk. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoSell0¢8
1 mo. agoBuy0¢3
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢8
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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