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Updated 2 days ago

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?

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94 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +1.0%24h▲ +14.0%1W
Yes 94¢No 6¢

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$300.7K

24h vol.

$11.1K

1w vol.

$237.4K

1m vol.

$300.7K

Liquidity

$138.6K

Bid / Ask

93¢ / 94¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

93¢

Start date

Sep 20, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
91¢$17,739
90¢$26,337
89¢$60,381
88¢$13,831
87¢$27,360
86¢$10,097
81¢$61
79¢$480
78¢$300
73¢$630
Asks (sell)Size
92¢$16,073
93¢$14,375
94¢$71,279
95¢$120,517
96¢$40,322
97¢$43,877
98¢$6,920
99¢$14,970

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 days agoBuy92¢1,000
3 days agoBuy8¢1,000
3 days agoBuy9¢56
3 days agoBuy91¢56
3 days agoBuy9¢111
3 days agoBuy91¢111
3 days agoBuy9¢111
3 days agoBuy91¢111
3 days agoBuy92¢2
3 days agoBuy8¢2
3 days agoBuy92¢1,100
3 days agoBuy8¢434
3 days agoBuy8¢20
3 days agoBuy8¢646
3 days agoBuy8¢854
3 days agoSell8¢811
3 days agoBuy92¢22
3 days agoSell8¢20
3 days agoSell6¢7
3 days agoBuy6¢7
3 days agoBuy7¢3,020
3 days agoBuy93¢182
3 days agoBuy93¢22
3 days agoSell7¢20
3 days agoBuy93¢5
3 days agoSell7¢305
3 days agoSell7¢2,250
3 days agoSell7¢236
3 days agoBuy8¢205
3 days agoBuy92¢205
3 days agoSell6¢29
3 days agoBuy6¢29
3 days agoSell93¢2,129
3 days agoSell7¢2,129
3 days agoSell93¢30
3 days agoSell7¢30
3 days agoBuy94¢6
3 days agoBuy6¢6
3 days agoSell6¢330
3 days agoBuy6¢299
3 days agoBuy6¢31
3 days agoSell6¢100
3 days agoBuy6¢69
3 days agoBuy6¢31
3 days agoSell6¢37
3 days agoBuy6¢37
3 days agoSell7¢2,440
3 days agoBuy7¢100
3 days agoBuy7¢2,000
3 days agoSell93¢5

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