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Updated 6 days ago

US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?

Other

79 %

chance

▼ −5.5%1h▼ −1.0%24h

Yes 79¢No 21¢

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

3 outcomes

Total volume

$17.5K

24h vol.

$145.139

1w vol.

$17.5K

1m vol.

$17.5K

Liquidity

$16.3K

Bid / Ask

78¢ / 79¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

79¢

Start date

Oct 13, 2026

End date

Nov 30, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,758 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.5 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 11¢

Bids (buy)Size

49¢$60

47¢$20

37¢$20

34¢$20

30¢$100

25¢$17,000

21¢$300

20¢$5,455

15¢$10,000

3¢$23

Asks (sell)Size

60¢$60

68¢$98

69¢$4,000

75¢$4,333

86¢$1,750

88¢$300

89¢$2,784

91¢$6

92¢$3,828

94¢$5,615

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Recent trades (8)

Buys 75%Sells 25%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
6 days ago	Sell	32¢	2
6 days ago	Buy	32¢	2
6 days ago	Buy	53¢	2
6 days ago	Buy	47¢	2
6 days ago	Buy	41¢	20
6 days ago	Sell	41¢	20
6 days ago	Buy	51¢	20
6 days ago	Buy	49¢	20

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