Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 17 min. ago

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?

Other
Log in for watchlist

27 %

chance

▲ +1.0%1h▲ +7.5%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 27¢No 73¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

4 outcomes

Total volume

$256.4K

24h vol.

$50.1K

1w vol.

$143.8K

1m vol.

$256.4K

Liquidity

$62.8K

Bid / Ask

26¢ / 28¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

26¢

Start date

Sep 24, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
26¢$998
25¢$2,773
24¢$605
23¢$2,390
22¢$895
21¢$1,986
20¢$9,232
19¢$17,702
18¢$11,956
17¢$3,940
Asks (sell)Size
28¢$294
29¢$244
30¢$1,150
32¢$5
35¢$366
36¢$205
39¢$277
40¢$635
41¢$55
42¢$365

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
36 min. agoBuy74¢2
36 min. agoBuy26¢2
58 min. agoBuy75¢25
58 min. agoBuy25¢12
58 min. agoSell75¢4
58 min. agoBuy26¢10
1 hr. agoBuy75¢1
1 hr. agoSell75¢1
1 hr. agoSell27¢60
1 hr. agoSell73¢60
1 hr. agoBuy73¢274
1 hr. agoSell73¢274
1 hr. agoSell73¢66
1 hr. agoBuy73¢16
1 hr. agoSell27¢50
1 hr. agoSell73¢50
1 hr. agoBuy73¢50
1 hr. agoBuy27¢991
1 hr. agoBuy73¢991
1 hr. agoBuy26¢19
1 hr. agoBuy73¢9
1 hr. agoBuy74¢10
1 hr. agoBuy75¢249
1 hr. agoSell75¢18
1 hr. agoBuy25¢231
1 hr. agoSell25¢113
1 hr. agoBuy25¢50
1 hr. agoBuy25¢10
1 hr. agoSell75¢16
1 hr. agoSell75¢37
1 hr. agoBuy75¢249
1 hr. agoBuy25¢169
1 hr. agoSell75¢80
2 hr. agoBuy74¢50
2 hr. agoBuy26¢10
2 hr. agoBuy26¢30
2 hr. agoSell74¢10
2 hr. agoBuy28¢50
2 hr. agoBuy72¢50
2 hr. agoBuy74¢60
2 hr. agoSell74¢10
2 hr. agoBuy26¢50
2 hr. agoBuy74¢40
2 hr. agoSell74¢37
2 hr. agoSell74¢3
2 hr. agoBuy74¢14
2 hr. agoSell74¢7
2 hr. agoBuy26¢6
2 hr. agoBuy27¢144
2 hr. agoBuy73¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.