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Updated 2 min. ago

Will there be no Hormuz agreement?

Politics
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87 %

chance

▼ −0.3%1h▼ −9.2%24h▼ −1.6%1W
Yes 87¢No 13¢

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$878.2K

24h vol.

$182.4K

1w vol.

$627K

1m vol.

$881.5K

Liquidity

$66.5K

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 87¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

88¢

Start date

Oct 11, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
87¢$80
86¢$1,540
86¢$1,258
86¢$8,932
86¢$6,400
85¢$333
85¢$1,686
84¢$40
84¢$2,000
84¢$40
Asks (sell)Size
87¢$1,364
87¢$1,258
88¢$862
88¢$2,100
88¢$9,000
88¢$2,369
88¢$2,000
88¢$200
88¢$10,507
88¢$415

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
11 min. agoBuy88¢150
11 min. agoSell88¢85
11 min. agoBuy12¢50
11 min. agoSell88¢15
21 min. agoBuy88¢6
21 min. agoSell88¢6
23 min. agoBuy14¢36
23 min. agoSell14¢22
23 min. agoBuy86¢14
23 min. agoBuy14¢7
23 min. agoBuy86¢7
24 min. agoBuy88¢1,070
24 min. agoBuy12¢1,021
24 min. agoSell88¢48
24 min. agoBuy88¢108
24 min. agoBuy12¢108
26 min. agoBuy88¢292
26 min. agoBuy12¢292
26 min. agoBuy88¢33
26 min. agoSell88¢33
26 min. agoBuy87¢28
26 min. agoBuy13¢28
26 min. agoBuy87¢258
26 min. agoBuy13¢30
26 min. agoBuy13¢228
26 min. agoBuy87¢48
26 min. agoBuy13¢27
26 min. agoSell87¢21
33 min. agoBuy86¢11
33 min. agoSell86¢11
33 min. agoSell86¢481
33 min. agoBuy86¢451
33 min. agoSell14¢30
33 min. agoSell14¢102
33 min. agoSell86¢102
40 min. agoSell87¢21
40 min. agoBuy87¢21
40 min. agoBuy88¢13
40 min. agoSell88¢13
40 min. agoBuy88¢821
40 min. agoBuy12¢821
40 min. agoBuy88¢1,451
40 min. agoBuy12¢800
40 min. agoSell88¢200
40 min. agoSell88¢223
40 min. agoBuy13¢228
43 min. agoBuy88¢20
43 min. agoSell88¢20
1 hr. agoSell12¢200
1 hr. agoSell88¢200

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