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Updated 27 min. ago

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Politics
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5 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +1.1%24h▼ −2.5%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$287K

24h vol.

$60.1K

1w vol.

$252.6K

1m vol.

$289.2K

Liquidity

$117.6K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 5¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Oct 11, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$6
5¢$30
5¢$10,190
5¢$3,245
4¢$1,656
4¢$1,344
4¢$9,627
4¢$20,971
4¢$5,000
4¢$1,507
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$101
5¢$11
5¢$7,501
6¢$3,255
6¢$419
6¢$1,232
6¢$6,860
6¢$695
6¢$2,786
6¢$600

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 95%Sells 5%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
35 min. agoBuy95¢33
35 min. agoBuy5¢1
35 min. agoSell95¢26
35 min. agoSell95¢5
35 min. agoBuy95¢110
35 min. agoSell95¢6
35 min. agoSell95¢5
35 min. agoBuy5¢99
2 hr. agoBuy5¢6
2 hr. agoBuy95¢6
2 hr. agoSell95¢208
2 hr. agoBuy95¢5
2 hr. agoSell5¢195
2 hr. agoBuy95¢8
2 hr. agoBuy5¢15
2 hr. agoBuy95¢2
2 hr. agoBuy95¢6
2 hr. agoBuy95¢7
2 hr. agoBuy5¢37
2 hr. agoSell5¢31
2 hr. agoBuy95¢6
2 hr. agoBuy95¢1
2 hr. agoBuy5¢7
2 hr. agoBuy95¢7
2 hr. agoBuy5¢8
2 hr. agoBuy96¢8
3 hr. agoBuy96¢8
3 hr. agoBuy4¢8
3 hr. agoBuy96¢7
3 hr. agoBuy4¢7
3 hr. agoBuy95¢235
3 hr. agoBuy5¢234
3 hr. agoSell95¢1
3 hr. agoBuy95¢236
3 hr. agoSell96¢11
3 hr. agoSell95¢6
3 hr. agoBuy5¢219
3 hr. agoBuy95¢8
3 hr. agoSell95¢8
3 hr. agoBuy95¢5
3 hr. agoBuy5¢5
3 hr. agoBuy95¢12
3 hr. agoBuy5¢2
3 hr. agoSell95¢10
3 hr. agoBuy95¢13
3 hr. agoBuy5¢13
3 hr. agoBuy5¢55
3 hr. agoSell5¢5
3 hr. agoSell5¢50
3 hr. agoBuy5¢8,674

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