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Updated 27 min. ago

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?

Politics
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13 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▲ +8.5%24h▲ +3.6%1W
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

3 outcomes
See all 3 outcomes

Total volume

$404.2K

24h vol.

$58.4K

1w vol.

$356.4K

1m vol.

$404.7K

Liquidity

$81.2K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 13¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Oct 11, 2026

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
13¢$4,271
13¢$13,419
13¢$726
13¢$274
13¢$13
12¢$694
12¢$12,207
12¢$1,519
12¢$907
12¢$19
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$7
14¢$8
14¢$411
14¢$498
14¢$3,414
14¢$1,294
15¢$260
15¢$1,215
15¢$479
15¢$379

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
35 min. agoBuy87¢200
35 min. agoSell87¢200
35 min. agoBuy87¢33
35 min. agoSell87¢33
51 min. agoSell87¢0
51 min. agoBuy87¢0
1 hr. agoBuy87¢46
1 hr. agoSell87¢46
2 hr. agoSell13¢7
2 hr. agoSell87¢7
2 hr. agoBuy86¢500
2 hr. agoSell86¢300
2 hr. agoBuy14¢200
2 hr. agoSell14¢500
2 hr. agoBuy14¢500
2 hr. agoSell87¢6
2 hr. agoBuy87¢6
2 hr. agoBuy13¢15
2 hr. agoBuy87¢9
2 hr. agoBuy87¢6
2 hr. agoBuy13¢83
2 hr. agoBuy87¢12
2 hr. agoSell13¢71
2 hr. agoBuy13¢100
2 hr. agoSell13¢100
2 hr. agoBuy13¢36
2 hr. agoSell13¢36
2 hr. agoBuy13¢7
2 hr. agoSell13¢1
2 hr. agoBuy87¢7
2 hr. agoBuy12¢8
2 hr. agoBuy88¢8
2 hr. agoSell12¢59
2 hr. agoSell88¢59
3 hr. agoBuy88¢20
3 hr. agoSell88¢11
3 hr. agoSell87¢9
3 hr. agoBuy12¢59
3 hr. agoBuy88¢59
3 hr. agoBuy87¢941
3 hr. agoBuy12¢10
3 hr. agoBuy12¢10
3 hr. agoBuy12¢10
3 hr. agoBuy12¢10
3 hr. agoBuy12¢10
3 hr. agoSell87¢24
3 hr. agoBuy13¢208
3 hr. agoBuy13¢210
3 hr. agoSell87¢17
3 hr. agoSell87¢18

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