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Updated 6 days ago

Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0 %
chance
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
43 outcomes- J.D. Vance44 %
- Marco Rubio14 %
- Ron DeSantis4 %
- Tucker Carlson3 %
- Ted Cruz2 %
- Donald Trump2 %
- Donald Trump Jr.2 %
- Ivanka Trump1 %
- Thomas Massie1 %
- Brian Kemp1 %
- Tulsi Gabbard0 %
- Pete Hegseth0 %
- Marjorie Taylor Greene0 %
- Josh Hawley0 %
- Tom Cotton0 %
- Glenn Youngkin0 %
- Rand Paul0 %
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0 %
- Katie Britt0 %
- Candace Owens0 %
- Vivek Ramaswamy0 %
- Steve Bannon0 %
- Eric Trump0 %
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders0 %
- Byron Donalds0 %
- John McEntee0 %
- Elon Musk0 %
- Elise Stefanik0 %
- Nikki Haley0 %
- John N. Kennedy0 %
- Mike Pence0 %
- Kristi Noem0 %
- Joe Kent0 %
- Greg Abbott0 %
- Kim Kardashian0 %
- Doug Burgum0 %
- Tim Scott0 %
- John Thune0 %
- Mike Johnson0 %
- Erika Kirk0 %
- Tom Brady0 %
- Rick Scott0 %
- Matt Gaetz0 %
Total volume
$284.1K
24h vol.
$16.168
1w vol.
$76.1K
1m vol.
$284.1K
Liquidity
$824.3K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jul 11, 2025
End date
Nov 7, 2028
ends in 2 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10,000 |
| 7 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 13,001 |
| 7 days ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13,001 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 35,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,967 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,000 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30,033 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 110,670 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 94,967 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15,703 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 16,130 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16,130 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 753 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 753 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,737 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1,737 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 70,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 32,667 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 22,333 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 3,810 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3,810 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 85 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 85 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 250 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 250 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4,430 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 35 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 416 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,172 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,740 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 37 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 44 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 44 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.